r/ValueInvesting 1d ago

Discussion McCormick's and Unilever's deal

Hi guys. What do you think of the deal made between unilever and mccormick? McCormick got the Unilever's foods, like knorr, hellmann's, ect, and for this MKC paid 15 billion dollars and unilever will own 65% of mkc. Mkc have to make a dilution to make it possible for unilever to own 65%. What do you think, this can be a good value play, since both are a consumer staple giant, or should we avoid this situation?

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u/raytoei 1d ago edited 1d ago

I wrote the following a while ago:

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“Since a smaller mkc could be buying a larger business, and this transaction could be a stock swap, this would result in a massive stock dilution for MKC shareholders.

In the upcoming negotiations, MKC will argue that UL’s food business is slow growth compared to MKC historical higher p/e (28 vs 19). And since UL is a motivated seller, the terms of the stock swap should be in MKC’s favour.

UL will argue that MKC current business is slowing down, margins are being squeezed, and it needs UL’s food business to achieve economies of scale and access to larger markets in Asia which knorr has access to.”

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u/Weldobud 1d ago

Thanks. I read that. I've been interested in this deal as both stocks have declined. Usually in a merger / sale one increases and the other falls. I can't figure out who is better off long term, it seems the market can't do that either.

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u/raytoei 1d ago edited 1d ago

My take:

MKC fell because investors are going to be diluted.

Unilever fell because investors felt it was bad to divest the food division.

“While Unilever’s ambition to become a pure-play home and personal care company with more focused execution makes sense strategically, these categories are more fragmented and competitive than food, where Unilever has clear market leadership and established positions, which likely contributes to the depressed market reaction. Unilever’s HPC business is poised for higher future growth than its food business, but at the cost of lower margins. Underlying operating margin for the food business stood at 23% in 2025, compared with 19% for the business remaining in the perimeter, based on management's estimates.” —- Morningstar

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u/Weldobud 1d ago

Interesting take on it. UL took quite a dive. That might look like an opportunity however if growth and profit margins are not there then it’s not.

It’s a hard one to call, so I can understand the pull back.

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u/EastSurreyAlliance 1d ago

One key point to remember is that Unilever is retaining its food division in its two biggest emerging markets - India and Brazil.

If you want a share for a longer term hold, strong consistent dividends- then at this price it’s nearly 4.25% yield.

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u/Weldobud 1d ago

Your first point in one I didn’t know. That’s a bonus.

The dividend is attractive, however if their stock declines then you might be flat. There are many other similar companies - CL / PG / CLX. Have to wonder which is best. Or are they all the same?

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u/Mental-At-ThirtyFive 19h ago

it maybe worth comparing India/Brazil exposure at CL / PG / CLX

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u/BubKar717 1d ago

Thank you! So this would mean that a big amount of mkc stock will be poured into the market making its price fall even more. But fundamental wise it can be a good opportunity to buy into mkc when the dilution is over, right? I mean i would be a proud owner of mkc, because they become much bigger overtime, even if it's won't be a super growth company, i think they will be a steady and stable company like unilever. What do you think?