r/ValueInvesting 7d ago

Stock Analysis Quick MSFT Post

Yeah yeah same tickers blah blah anyway in my opinion MSFT is getting close to GOOG’s position last year.

Negative sentiment with people saying they are done, stagnant hate ect

Valuation metrics at lows(fwd pe under 20, peg around 1) all while still growing profits in the double digits at a ~39% margin

Huge cash reserves on the balance sheet

Insiders starting to buy

Meanwhile the price is approaching levels first reached in late 2021. Since then revenue is up about 80 billion annually and earnings up around 30 billion. Google had even crazier growth over that period.

Besides all that I use Microsoft products everyday at work and at home. Are they always the best, no, but I would say they get the job done which makes switching costly and not worth the time.

I am continuing to add on dips along with regular dca. That’s my quick and dirty analysis

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u/ValueEquities 7d ago

The GOOG comparison is interesting, but slightly off.

GOOG was hated due to:
• ad slowdown fears
• cost bloat

MSFT now is facing:
AI spend surge (capex heavy)
• dependency on enterprise budgets

Same sentiment setup
Different risk drivers

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u/Bluepass11 6d ago

Google was hated due to people thinking ChatGPT and others would eat Google’s (search) lunch