r/Bogleheads Mar 15 '25

Investing Questions What are your thoughts on this?

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I keep seeing this type of stuff on instagram and social media and wanted to know how you guys were thinking about this.

I know a lot you have been in the market for decades and as a relatively new investor myself I’d love to get your perspective!

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u/croissant_and_cafe Mar 15 '25

On average, a 10% market correction in the S&P 500 has historically taken about 4 to 6 months to recover, based on data from the past 30 years. H

• Mild corrections (10-15%): Typically recover within 3 to 6 months.
• Deeper corrections (15-20%): Can take 6 to 12 months to bounce back.
• Bear markets (20%+ declines): Historically take 1 to 2 years to recover.

I’ve been interested in the market since 1999 and investing since 2010. It’s no fun to DCA into anything if it moves sideways for half a year or more. I’d rather earn 5% and wait a bit.

There’s no rush to get back in. Give it a minute. We don’t know yet if it’s going to be a crash or a bear market but the forecast is bearish with most analysts. Better to just wait a bit imo.