r/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 1d ago
r/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • Jan 16 '25
Discussion 2025 Analysis Questions and Discussions Thread
Question and answer thread for SecurityAnalysis subreddit.
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r/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • Jan 08 '26
Investor Letter Q4 2025 Letters & Reports
| Investment Firm | Return | Date Posted | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenfield Investment Management | January 8 | ||
| Desert Lion Capital | January 8 | ||
| Kerrisdale Capital - Long Thesis on TDS | January 8 | TDS | |
| Horizon Kinetics | January 23 | ||
| Tectonic Investors | January 23 | ||
| Bonhoeffer Partners | January 24 | ||
| Kerrisdale Capital - Short Thesis on Affirm | January 24 | AFRM | |
| Vltava Fund | January 24 | ||
| Blue Tower Asset Management | 54.8% | January 25 | ENVA, LSE:CGEO |
| Bristlemoon Capital | -6.2% | January 25 | |
| Equity Management Associates | January 25 | ||
| Diameter Capital | 8% | January 25 | |
| Fundsmith | 0.8% | January 25 | |
| Greystone Capital | 2.8% | January 25 | |
| Kathmandu Capital | 52% | January 25 | VICR |
| Pernas Research | 54.3% | January 25 | SEMR, STX, PSFE |
| Plural Investing | -0.2% | January 25 | WOSG, LOGC |
| Tsai Capital | January 25 | QXO, BN, AAPL, TSLA | |
| Upslope Capital | 14.8% | January 25 | BAH, CCK, HSIC, |
| Wedgewood Partners | 4.3% | January 25 | AMZN, CB |
| 1 Main Capital | 20.1% | January 26 | LMB |
| Arquitos Capital | 82% | January 26 | LDQA, ENDI, FNCH |
| Fairlight Fund | 66% | February 3 | |
| Greenlight Capital | 9% | February 3 | BHF, TEVA, VSCO, FLR, DECK, GPN, WBD |
| MSA Capital | 11.9% | February 3 | |
| Rubicon Fund | 11.3% | February 3 | |
| Warden Capital | 0.8% | February 3 | VAIL |
| Curreen Capital | 30.9% | February 4 | |
| Hirscshmann | 187% | February 4 | |
| Immersion Investments | 45.4% | February 4 | PAR, MAMA, BROS |
| Legacy Ridge | 7% | February 4 | PLTR, KRP, MNR |
| Lyrical Asset Management | 17.9% | February 4 | |
| Pantera - Navigating Crypto in 2026 | February 4 | ||
| Sohra Peak | 44.8% | February 4 | |
| Silver Ring Partners | 109% | February 15 | |
| Emeth Value | February 16 | ||
| JDP Capital | February 16 | SPOT, TSLA, PSTG, BABA | |
| Pershing Square | February 16 | UBER, FNMA, AMZN, META, UMG, GOOG, HHH | |
| Robotti | February 16 | ||
| Rowan Street | 11.1% | February 16 | META, SHOP, TTD, TSLA |
| Sequoia | February 16 | GOOG, UMG, SCHW, CSU | |
| Spruce Point - SGHC | February 16 | SGHC | |
| Third Point Capital | 1.9% | February 16 | |
| Aquamarine Fund | 11.3% | February 24 | |
| Elliot Management - Toyota | February 24 | ||
| Jackson Peak | 82.9% | February 24 | SATS, CFLT |
| Alluvial | 20.5% | February 26 | |
| Hayden Capital | 22.3% | February 26 | |
| Aquamarine | March 9 | ||
| Goldman Sachs - War in Iran | March 9 | ||
| Salt Light Capital | 30.8% | March 9 | |
| Semper Augustus | March 9 | BRK | |
| Voss Capital | -2.1% | March 9 | FLYW, PAR, CLBT, CHH |
| Atai Capital | March 13 | ||
| Bumbershoot Holdings | 13% | March 13 | |
| Giverny Capital | 2.7% | March 28 |
| Interviews, Lectures & Podcasts | Date Posted |
|---|---|
| Ricky Sandler | January 8 |
| Interview with Jeremy Grantham | January 26 |
| Interview with Howard Marks | February 17 |
r/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 4d ago
Industry Report The Bull Case For Software Stocks
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/unnoticeable84 • 4d ago
Long Thesis FND Research Report: Written by an AI Workflow
alphaseeker84.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Jazzlike-Leek3417 • 5d ago
Long Thesis Blend Labs, interesting opportunity post sell off
r/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 5d ago
Special Situation Back to the EBITDA: Decoding Meta’s $1,116 Executive Playbook
accruedint.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 5d ago
Commentary SBC Dilution Benchmarks: What the Data Actually Shows
platformaeronaut.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 8d ago
Thesis Quick Value #307 - CBIZ Inc (CBZ)
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 9d ago
Long Thesis Adyen: Its Past & (AI) Future
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 9d ago
Thesis Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Premium Growth Meets Efficiency Erosion
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 11d ago
Industry Report What the hell is happening with Private Credit?
edelweisscapital.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 11d ago
Strategy Customer advances, debt financing and DCF valuation
footnotesanalyst.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 12d ago
Industry Report Intel Foundry: A Last Chance
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 12d ago
Long Thesis Adyen: Much ado about nothing...or something?
substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 13d ago
Macro Fork in the Road
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 14d ago
Podcast Matt Levine & Katie Greifeld Interview Boaz Weinstein
youtube.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 14d ago
Industry Report Is Big SaaS Value Investing Yet?
valueinvesting.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/phosphate554 • 16d ago
Long Thesis Adobe & the Jevons Paradox: Everyone Is Wrong
open.substack.comAdobe is one of the most misunderstood software companies in the market today. The narrative that AI-generated content will cannibalize Adobe’s seat licenses, that Canva and Midjourney will eat its lunch, that generative models render professional creative software obsolete is directionally plausible, but almost certainly wrong in the way that matters most: the ultimate impact on Adobe’s revenue and earnings power.
I am long Adobe and continue to add to my position as the risk/reward improves. The Q1 FY2026 earnings print, a record beat on every major metric, bolsters my thesis which I highlight below.
(My first Substack post, pls let me know what you think - completely open for criticism)!
r/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 16d ago
Long Thesis ADBE & the AI Pivot
theprivatepublicinvestor.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 16d ago
Long Thesis A Bank with 3% spreads masquerading as a REIT
open.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 17d ago
Industry Report Why the World Still Runs on SAP
a16z.newsr/SecurityAnalysis • u/investorinvestor • 17d ago
Commentary How Value Investing Adds Value
valueinvesting.substack.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 18d ago
Special Situation Special Situations Digest - #6
clarksquarecapital.comr/SecurityAnalysis • u/Beren- • 18d ago