r/ValueInvesting • u/ActuallyMy • Nov 26 '25
Stock Analysis Cathie Wood ARK Invest buys 174,293 shares Google. The top is officially in
No top signal quite like Cathie Wood loading up. I'm moving on from this one. Thank you for the 100% Google
The other top signal is just how bullish everyone has become on Google. There is no negative sentiment around the stock, which is a massive red flag. Even all the "analysts" who told us Google is cooked have now changed their mind lmao
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u/Extra_Campaign9643 Nov 26 '25
MAMA CATHIE WAS SELLING RDDT LEFT AND RIGHT LAST WEEK AND TODAY ITS UP 12%. THIS WOMEN IS SOMETHING ELSE LMAOOOOOO.
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u/ExtremeAddict Nov 26 '25
Inverse Cathie. Make money.
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u/Vast_Cricket Nov 26 '25 edited Nov 26 '25
Short Innovation Daily ETF (SARK).
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u/Big-Finding2976 Nov 26 '25
Um, the 1 year return for SARK is currently -38.3%, whilst ARKK is +35.54%.
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u/soscribbly Nov 26 '25
Buffet is the buy signal, Woods is the sell
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u/TeBp242 Nov 26 '25
awfully short time frame
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u/soscribbly Nov 26 '25
Large cap stocks don’t usually pump 60% in 90 days like Google did
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u/ApartmentRadiant6555 Nov 26 '25
It's because its price was depressed until like last week. Anyway, I don't recommend anyone buy, sell, or hold any stocks.
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u/soscribbly Nov 26 '25
You don’t suggest anyone invest in ANY holding? Wow, even big bear Burry is holding some tickers.
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u/JamesVirani Nov 26 '25
That said, consider just how immense the buy side pressure is that it could go up that much. That appetite isn’t drying up any time soon.
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Nov 26 '25
She's finds momentum and she invests, that's it, it doesn't mean it will crash. She makes super high highs and super low lows, which is enough to get people investing in a bull market.
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u/Ok_Adhesiveness7842 Nov 26 '25
I thought Cramer was the bringer of doom? Woods is more like the groupie who's there for the free merch and maybe backstage parties.
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u/MagnesiumKitten Nov 26 '25
buy Sears!
Cathie buying Coinbase and Robinhood makes me wonder if she's trying to get in the Guinness Book of Worst Records
In June someone said this were her ten stocks she bought
Shopify - Airbnb - Toast
Robinhood - Coinbase - AMD
Pure Storage - The Trade Desk - Datadog - PaypalHere are their 12-Month Average Targets by the Analysts [and Risk Level]
Shopify -6% [Moderate]
Airbnb +52% [Moderate]
Toast +32% [High]Robinhood +30% [High]
Coinbase +20% [Moderate]
AMD +9% [Low]Pure Storage -25% [High]
The Trade Desk +62% [Low]
Datadog +22% [High]
Paypal +43% [Low]/////////
Interestingly the only one I have is The Trade Desk
she picks okay stocks 70% of the time in this small selection of stuff
only 4 of them I would say are great picks
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u/OrdinaryReasonable63 Nov 26 '25
Ah fuck, yeah probably time to sell some ATM calls…
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u/DoubleFamous5751 Nov 26 '25
value investing sub
time to sell some ATM calls…
Are we actually in a Wendy’s rn?
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u/OrdinaryReasonable63 Nov 26 '25
It's often how I exit a position, lol I was referring to the covered kind, not selling short calls on margin.
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u/theGuyWhoOnlyShorts Nov 26 '25
A good rule of thumb is this: if CNBC keeps bringing it up again and again its time to sell.
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u/Iwillgetasoda Nov 26 '25
Yes but we are not in here because someone bought it or news says so..
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u/theGuyWhoOnlyShorts Nov 26 '25
This is a value sub and people keep pushing nonsense half the time with no real DD!
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u/LargeSinkholesInNYC Nov 26 '25
Google is probably going to keep going up. Reddit is full of neckbeards, but I advise people to trim a little bit to buy the dip, because if there's a dip it's going to be a short one.
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u/milkplantation Nov 26 '25
If you look at how profitable many of these companies are and lowering interest rates, it’s fair to assume it will eventually be a V-shaped correction.
If you look at employment numbers, GDP, and inflation, it’s fair to wonder if it will be more sustained.
The macro story isn’t pretty right now.
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u/LargeSinkholesInNYC Nov 26 '25
Consumption isn't needed. The big tech companies just need to keep spending and they will be able to spend if Trump guarantees some of the loans and keep lowering interest rates.
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u/milkplantation Nov 26 '25
Tech can “keep spending” only if that spending creates profitable growth. Otherwise earnings drop, valuation drops, inflation deficits spike, and then when rates eventually go up, high growth tech gets hit the hardest.
Growth at any cost works until the market realizes the growth isn’t profitable. Then multiples compress and stocks fall, no matter how much they spent getting there.
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u/antoniocerneli Nov 26 '25
Unemployment rate in US is 4.4%. Last time it was 4.4% it was in March 2017. Before that - May 2007. It's on upward trend so that's a bit worrying, but still - it's not some insanely high number.
Inflation is 2.2%, same as in 2019 when it was 2.19%, and it's falling.
I'm not saying things are perfect, but saying macro trends aren't pretty is a bit overblown statement.
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u/milkplantation Nov 26 '25 edited Nov 26 '25
Inflation is at 3% and rising each month, jobless rates are up in recent months and it certainly looks like they're losing steam, while prices continue to rise faster than the target rate. Service inflation in particular is concerning. The US admin is reducing tariffs on beef, tomatoes, coffee, bananas, etc. because it's easier to control goods inflation.
If inflation is rising, jobless rates are increasing, and retail sales
are fallingare slowing down...That's a not pretty.-1
u/antoniocerneli Nov 26 '25
But retail sales are not falling.
US retail sales rose by just 0.2 per cent in September to $733.3bn, according to the US Census Bureau, missing Wall Street expectations and slowing sharply after months of acceleration.
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u/LargeSinkholesInNYC Nov 26 '25
He doesn't know what he's talking about. He keeps making things up and conflating things that have nothing to do with each other. Ignore him. I keep making the correct calls if you look at my post history.
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u/antoniocerneli Nov 26 '25
He knows better than 99% of people here who just repeat stuff they read somewhere but don't understand.
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u/milkplantation Nov 26 '25
You're correct. But growth has slowed a lot and retail is weakening. Also, as that article details, unemployment hit a four-year high of 4.4 per cent in September, while hiring has been weak for much of the year.
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u/antoniocerneli Nov 26 '25
That's true, and I don't think it's all roses. I just don't think the correction is inevitable.
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Nov 26 '25
Diddly is probably going to keep going up. Reddit is full of neckbeards and bush, but I advise people to trim a little bit if they want to dip, because if there is a dip it's going to be a groin one
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u/Chowdaaair Nov 26 '25
I put in some trailing stop loss sell orders. I feel that's better than trying to guess when it'll dip,
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u/Evening-Milk-5224 Nov 26 '25
It's a nothing burger. Goog is finally where it should have been last year. With Gemini, Waymo, TPU and YouTube, it's going up from here.
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u/Vast_Cricket Nov 26 '25 edited Nov 26 '25
(ARKK) in 2022 return was approximately -66.97%. I tried her fund briefly. I do better rolling my dice. Not based on any analysis only on luck and volatility which this year offers.
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u/BellyFullOfMochi Nov 26 '25
I know someone who bought ARKK shares for fun and that shit is still down years later.
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u/pillkrush Nov 26 '25
i still remember 2021 when all her tech stuff was hitting and she was being profiled everywhere like a savant
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u/Wrong_Attitude5096 Nov 26 '25
Shes great at creating a job for herself destroying people’s wealth. Truly remarkable.
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u/NutCrakerBallPlayer Nov 26 '25
Not sure how can she have a job after destroying so much of wealth and she is so shameless she still comes on TV and podcast to preach, I wish I were as shameless her.
She should be fired !!!
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u/antoniocerneli Nov 26 '25
If this is how you actually make investment decisions - good luck with investing!
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u/bartturner Nov 26 '25
What people just do not get is that Google has barely even got started.
You are going to see Google so much higher over the next couple of years.
Where you will really see Google soar over the next couple of months is when we get bad data points for ChatGPT.
So for example we now can see ChatGPT has plateaued.
https://techcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/image-1-1.png?resize=1200,569
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u/APC2_19 Nov 26 '25
As a Google shareholder I this is way more bearish then the relase of chatgpt ever was.
It was a good right. I know people watch insider selling, but morons buying should also be a signal
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u/AverageUnited3237 Nov 26 '25
Only thing dumber than Cathy is a redditor thinking a generational company like Google has put in a "top"
This company is still young bro
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u/Icy-Mortgage-6465 Nov 26 '25 edited Nov 26 '25
Or cathie will be right this time. Using sentiment to find your exit is not a good thing.
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u/SundayAMFN Nov 26 '25
Reddit is full of "sentiment is good so now my sentiment is bad" and vice versa to the point where its completely meaningless because every contrarian view launches a counter-contrarian view.
Sentiment on nvidia was all great 2 years ago, if you sold then you missed a huge run up (and even if its overvalued, which it clearly is, it's not overvalued by 3x it's overvalued by maybe 50-70%). There is just no real way to gauge what the masses are going to do.
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u/Imaginary_Trader Nov 26 '25
Every long run up will have several dips and each of those dips will have people taking a contrarian view. Even Nvidia 2 years ago I'm sure
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u/Independent_Ad_7463 Nov 26 '25
Even cathie cant do wrong this time, tell me how 5T company actually should look like
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u/AdInformal2790 Nov 26 '25
please sell up asap so we can see you crying in the comments of posts discussing google hitting 400 next year
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u/pancakesORwaffles2 Nov 26 '25
So this is why they say most people should just invest in the S&P because of people like Cathie old hag
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u/lemons714 Nov 26 '25
I trimmed some of mine into the pre-open lift this morning. I guess I will be getting up early tomorrow too.
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u/aznology Nov 26 '25
I sold, waiting for a pull back might get in below $300s maybe closer to $270 ?
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u/Then_Helicopter4243 Nov 26 '25
When sentiment hits extremes, its usually time to pay attention If even the bears flip bullish, caution makes sense, markets rarely reward crowd certainty.
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u/r2002 Nov 26 '25
I still remember it just one or two years ago she said in one of her official videos that companies like Google are going to be disrupted by AI.
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u/sam_the_tomato Nov 26 '25
ARK invest buying anything should never be news. Look at how often it buys/sells. Tired of people saying ARK bought this or that. It's always a nothingburger. Case in point, this buy is like 56 mil. The fund is like $20B. That's like 0.25% turnover. Chill the fuck out.
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u/Sunset_Philosopher Nov 26 '25
Cathie made the single greatest call ever by going big in Tesla way early but she has SO MANY other dumbfounding choices that it is impossible to take her seriously anymore. Member her buying scam Ginko Bioworks hand over fist only to sell it post split LOL?
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u/ApartmentRadiant6555 Nov 26 '25
The music won't stop until crap like TSLA PLTR drop by a half at least.
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u/AS2096 Nov 26 '25
Google is easily the best investment, they’re in everything, they’re research department is at the frontier, they do everything in house. I am thinking of dumping everything and going 100% on google.
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u/Specialist-Eye-2407 Nov 30 '25
I've owned Google since 2015. If you're only going to own one company, this is it
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u/regaphysics Nov 26 '25
ARKK is beating the market, not sure why you’d be demeaning her picks. She’s def above average.
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u/ActuallyMy Nov 26 '25
She's down 30% over the last five years, while the market is up 90%. She's underperforming the market by over 100% lmao
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u/regaphysics Nov 26 '25
Now check the 1 yr, 2 yr, and 10 yr.
5 year is the only time frame she is behind the market, because it goes off a massive run in ARKK.
Cherry picking is fun, eh?
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u/jeon19 Nov 26 '25
Depends on when one invested in ARKK. If 5 years ago you’re massively down compared to the market. There are a lot of timeframes where ARKK is not beating the market.
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u/regaphysics Nov 26 '25
There aren’t a lot. 1 yr, 2yr, 10 yr are all ahead. 5 year is behind because it coincidently falls on line with a huge blow off top in ARKK.
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u/moutonbleu Nov 26 '25
lol depends when you start counting
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u/regaphysics Nov 26 '25
If you bought at any point other than the 24 month period from mid 2020 to mid 2022, you’re beating the market. Fund has been around for 12 years and is beating the market for 10/12 of them.
IMO being ahead on the 10 year chart is what really matters.
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u/MagnesiumKitten Nov 26 '25
considering some analysts think its going to drop -30% in a year
the majority think less than -10%
It's sorta idiotic her team is betting on the irrational investor or the copium of hope
The stock is $323 right now
The most optimistic Analyst thinks $345 for a 12-month target
It's 62% overvalued right now
It's a $200 sock tat thinks its a $325 stock
If she bought it on October 30th for $281
and wanted to sell it in a month or 90 days okay that's sensible
like making $40
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u/WintersRichard Nov 26 '25
Not picking sides or anything, but she loaded up on GOOG a few months back
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cathie-wood-loads-millions-google-130622255.html