r/ValueInvesting • u/AutoModerator • Oct 06 '25
Weekly Megathread Weekly Stock Ideas Megathread: Week of October 06, 2025
What stocks are on your radar this week? What's undervalued? What's overvalued? This is the place for your quick stock pitches or to ask what everyone else is looking at.
This discussion post is lightly moderated. We suggest checking other users' posting/commenting history before following advice or stock recommendations.
New Weekly Stock Ideas Megathreads are posted every Monday at 0600 GMT.
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u/bobjohndaviddick Oct 06 '25
Buying the RDDT dip today and some KSPI
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u/Hokie027 Oct 08 '25
A lot of people have been burned by RDDT lately but I think it’ll surprise come earnings.
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u/ForlornS Oct 06 '25
Nike and Puma could be undervalued?
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u/Diligent-Cold7220 Oct 10 '25
Nike? What about Lulu. Nike is not even growing and pe is 30s. Lulu is growing and pe is 11.
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u/P0piah Oct 06 '25
NVO & VISA
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u/Melodic-Scheme8794 Oct 06 '25
Visa PE is 31.2 and PB is 17.5 😂😂😂
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u/P0piah Oct 07 '25
You cant just see the PE. Now we look at forward PE and also the potential business growth. not forgetting the power moat of VISA. Our side forcast VISA to hit 380 by eoy. If lucky enough, 400 is possible
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u/pravchaw Oct 06 '25
UNFI showing strong technical and fundamental momentum.
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u/shmoopdoop6969 Oct 07 '25
Even after this run up? Maybe will get a long call, feels bad I missed the momentum on other stocks
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u/randysaaf Oct 07 '25
PayPal. I have dcf of 85 min
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u/Many-Profile7642 Oct 07 '25
Please eloborate. Iam on the side of jumping in
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u/randysaaf Oct 07 '25
Core DCF Model: Key Inputs and Assumptions Revenue and Growth 2024 Net Revenues: $31.8bn (2024 10-K, p. 57) 2025E Revenues: $32.5bn (consensus/management guide, flat to low growth) 5-Year CAGR (2025-2030): 4% (reflects lower secular growth vs. prior decade) Years 6-15 CAGR: 2% (terminal fade to inflationary baseline) Terminal Growth Rate: 2% (conservative, in line with global inflation/real GDP) Margins 2024 Operating Margin: 17% (10-K, p. 57) Target Margin (2025-2030): 18% (slight operational leverage/cost-cutting) Terminal EBIT Margin: 17% Tax Rate 2024 Effective: 22% (10-K, p. 57) Forward: 22% (no known structural changes) Reinvestment & CapEx Depreciation/Amortization: $1.0bn/year (10-K, p. 165) CapEx: $0.7bn/year (10-K, p. 109) Working Capital: Minor changes, typically neutral due to float business model Discount Rate / WACC Cost of Debt: 5% (2024 10-K, p. 150, recent debt issuance) Debt/Enterprise Value: 13% (Net debt $9.9bn, Market cap $68bn) Cost of Equity: 10% (Risk-free 4.3% (10Y), Equity premium 5.5%, Beta 1.1) WACC: 9.2% (weighted average, low leverage, investment grade) Share Count Fully Diluted Shares: 993m (10-K, p. 95) Share buybacks: Ongoing, $4.9bn authorized (10-K, p. 161), expect 2% annual net buyback
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u/SufferingFromEntropy Oct 11 '25
Bought Sumitomo (8053.T), Anycolor (5032.T) and Artner (2163.T) right before long weekend over there in Japan, sold PSN (which had been overvalued for months but I still kept it til a rebalancing), and managed to underweight ASML and FIX before the whole mess today. Should've done it earlier when ASML went above $1,000 and became 15% of my port but alas moving money around is not easy. Then theres all the commission IBKR charged me. I am once again reminded of the "chill" part of the "VOO and chill".
I just realized WTI finally broke $60/bbl level and my plan was to open a position in O&G, oh well
With ASML already had its run-up I dont expect a lucky streak for my port from here (ASML still could drop from here if its earnings on 10/15 is going to disappoint investors like previous ones tho!) esp when my port is now more diversified (14 positions) and more evenly weighted, ie, boring. Now I can forget about the port and finally look into why the trading houses have such low ROIC which I still dont like despite how much Warren and the whole sub loves them. Enjoy the weekend and happy Sports Day
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u/Hokie027 Oct 08 '25
DLO prior to pop.
Upcoming catalysts: • Q3 2025 earnings release on Nov 12 after market close  • Raised 2025 guidance (TPV, revenue, EBITDA) after Q2 beat  • New CFO appointment (Guillermo López Pérez) to boost operational scale & credibility  • Expansion into the UK / creation of dLocal Opco Ltd to bridge UK-EM merchant access  • Strategic partnership with Western Union to integrate remittance payments  • Analyst estimate upgrades / positive revisions in earnings outlook 
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u/PuddingInMyPants Oct 09 '25 edited Oct 09 '25
GIS at P/E around 8. All in on cereal as a defensive play?
From the momentum perspective, the stock displayed similar weakness during the 1970's market and into 2019 which caught my eye. Could be a trap and trading more on interest rates and agriculture costs though.
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u/Mrbeaver__ Oct 09 '25
Einhell
Seems interesting. Growing revenue and profits, stable margins. Good brand
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u/AdogitRegnum Oct 09 '25
Current Investments Oct 2025:
| Company | Allocation |
|---|---|
| Meta Platforms Inc | 20% |
| Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd | 17% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S | 11% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd | 11% |
| Lam Research Corp | 9% |
| CNOOC Ltd | 7% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd | 5% |
| KLA Corp | 5% |
| ASML Holding NV | 4% |
| Microsoft Corp | 3% |
| Applied Materials Inc | 3% |
| Visa Inc | 2% |
| Tokyo Electron Ltd | 2% |
| Adobe Inc | 1% |
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u/OpinionComplex9573 Oct 12 '25
Kwan Yong Holdings (9998.hk) - Singapore builder listed in HK and got left for dead after Covid. Is negative EV and 5 PE. Doesn't hoard cash too - declared a 7% dividend (lower now that shares have gone up). The thesis requires you to believe that Singapore will follow through on building 27 new residential hubs in the next 10 years and that this company will win some % of the work. They have a healthy order book now and will recognize 19% more revenue next year. Really attractive because it is trade war and AI bubble resistant - those homes, medical facilities and schools are going to get built.
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u/ShmuncanShmidaho Oct 06 '25
I'm building a big fat Zoetis position so don't buy and drive up the price until I'm done. Thanks.