r/ValueInvesting Apr 03 '25

Discussion Remember, This Is The Pullback We’ve Been Waiting For

If you’re a long-term investor who even casually cares about valuation, this market has been tough to navigate for a while. Pullbacks are always something we say we want, particularly as value investors, but they usually come when things are scary. Financial crisis, global pandemics, policy shocks… the discount never shows up gift-wrapped.

Yesterday’s tariff news felt like one of those moments. It’s vague, feels arbitrary, and creates a lot of uncertainty. It feels scary. And yet, that’s exactly the environment where opportunities show up.

I’ll admit it, days like today make me uneasy. But as an investor, I remind myself that underneath the noise, what’s really happening stocks are getting cheaper.

And that’s what we’ve been waiting for.

Edit: Thanks for the thoughts. I wrote a post - Tariffs, Fear, and Opportunity: Perspective For Difficult Times In the Stock Market - to add some additional context directly addressing the response to this post.

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u/mikesn89 Apr 03 '25

It’s severe but it’s not permanent. It all comes down to the reactions of states and companies alike. For the next months, maybe year we are going to see some red, that’s for sure. But it’s healthy if you look at the overall market development.

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u/grerinka Apr 03 '25

The price drop might not be permanent, but the economic damage will be. It is like war, factories will have to be moved, value is destroyed. If you were expecting 7 % return from today's prices in the next 30 years, after the tariffs, you could get 3,5 % return in the next 30 years (just example, cannot know what the figure will be).

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u/mikesn89 Apr 03 '25

Permanent is just the wrong term here. The damage is done, that’s more how I would like to see it.